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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the league (47.0) vs. running backs this year.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Completion% in the league (86.6%) to RBs this year (86.6%).

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. RBs this year, giving up 7.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have used play action on a mere 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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