My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (83.8%) vs. RBs this year (83.8%).

The Atlanta Falcons linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year with their pass rush.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 31.0) to running backs this year.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.68 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.

More Jaylen Warren Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™