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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to run 67.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 40.4% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.

Jaylen Warren has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 44.1% of snaps compared to just 28.4% last season.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Baltimore's unit has been great this year, ranking as the best in football.

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