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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 47.2% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his team's running game this year (32.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.3%).
  • The Pittsburgh O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football last year in run support.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
  • The Patriots safeties rank as the best safety corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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