Jaylen Waddle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+203/-228).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.9% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.3% red zone pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.
Favors Under
The Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.8%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (61.8%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.