My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

This week, Jaylen Waddle is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 91st percentile among wideouts with 8.9 targets.

With a remarkable 22.9% Target Rate (83rd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle stands as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.

Jaylen Waddle grades out as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a terrific 5.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded a puny 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-best rate in the league.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 4th-best unit in football this year with their pass rush.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™