Jaylen Waddle Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jaylen Waddle

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Waddle

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
In this contest, Jaylen Waddle is predicted by the model to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.
Jaylen Waddle has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 22.3% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.9%) vs. wideouts this year (58.9%).
The Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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