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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, Jaylen Waddle is predicted by the model to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 22.3% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.9%) vs. wideouts this year (58.9%).
  • The Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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