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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-127/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Waddle to total 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 4.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.

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