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Jaylen Waddle
NFL · Player Props
Jaylen Waddle
WR · Miami Dolphins
Receptions
New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023 Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Jaylen Waddle Receptions

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -148.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Waddle to garner 7.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Favors Under
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (63.0%).
  • The New England Patriots linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
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