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Jaylen Waddle
NFL · Player Props
Jaylen Waddle
WR · Miami Dolphins
Receptions
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 24, 2023 8:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Jaylen Waddle Receptions

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +102.

Favors Over
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.
  • In this game, Jaylen Waddle is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.
  • With an exceptional 22.4% Target% (83rd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle stands among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 4.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
Favors Under
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Dolphins, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by the predictive model to run just 64.0 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.2 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in the league.
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