Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Waddle

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 15, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-102/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 28.04 seconds per play, the model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
The projections expect Jaylen Waddle to earn 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Jaylen Waddle's talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this season, accumulating 3.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 0.00 mark last season.

Favors Under

The Broncos have been the 6th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
After averaging 84.0 air yards per game last season, Jaylen Waddle has regressed heavily this season, currently boasting 59.0 per game.
Jaylen Waddle's 55.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 65.0.
When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
Jaylen Waddle's 40.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a meaningful drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 50.0 mark.