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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The projections expect Jaylen Waddle to accumulate 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 21.8% this year, which places him in the 79th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 63.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
  • Jaylen Waddle's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.0% to 73.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Jaylen Waddle has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
  • Jaylen Waddle's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 9.27 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.51 mark last year.

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