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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's game, Jaylen Waddle is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 23.6% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
  • Jaylen Waddle has accumulated a staggering 79.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Jaylen Waddle comes in as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an outstanding 72.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 68.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a material growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 65.0% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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