Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaylen Waddle

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Waddle

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Waddle to earn 7.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Jaylen Waddle has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 22.7% this year, which ranks in the 84th percentile among WRs.
Jaylen Waddle has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (86.0 per game) than he did last year (60.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Dolphins are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Jaylen Waddle's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 73.9% to 63.9%.

More Jaylen Waddle Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow