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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-153/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -153.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Waddle to accrue 8.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 22.6% this year, which puts him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (87.0 per game) than he did last year (60.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 6th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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