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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-220).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Waddle has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle has received a monstrous 23.3% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 79th percentile among WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 53.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 84th percentile for wide receivers.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football, completing an impressive 74.5% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile among WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle grades out in the 87th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.38 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.9%) versus WRs since the start of last season (60.9%).
  • The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 8th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to wideouts: 0.82 per game since the start of last season.

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