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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in football (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Packers.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

Jayden Reed has gone out for fewer passes this year (79.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (63.4%).

This week, Jayden Reed is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 77th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Packers being a 5-point favorite this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 28.6 per game) this year.

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