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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers will be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Jayden Reed comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 3.8 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

Jayden Reed grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a fantastic 71.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.8%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (70.8%).

The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks rank as the 6th-worst CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Packers to pass on 49.3% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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