Jayden Reed Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This year, the weak Vikings pass defense has allowed a monstrous 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Vikings, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 34.0 per game) this year.
With a subpar 58.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (20th percentile) this year, Jayden Reed ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among wideouts.
The Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

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