Jayden Reed Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jayden Reed to earn 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.54 seconds per play.
Jayden Reed has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 55.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 20th percentile among wideouts
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (63.0%).
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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