Jayden Reed Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's game, Jayden Reed is projected by the model to slot into the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.8 targets.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New York's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to pass on 57.2% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.

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