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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in football (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Packers.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Jayden Reed has gone out for fewer passes this year (79.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (63.4%).
  • This week, Jayden Reed is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 77th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Packers being a 5-point favorite this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 28.6 per game) this year.
  • Jayden Reed has totaled far fewer air yards this year (51.0 per game) than he did last year (58.0 per game).

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