Jayden Reed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Packers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Jayden Reed grades out as one of the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging an excellent 9.21 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 78th percentile among wideouts.
The Chiefs safeties rank as the 10th-worst safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by the predictive model to call only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62%) to wideouts this year (62.0%).
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 7.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in football.

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