My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+136/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been responsible for 17.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's pass game near the end zone in this week's contest at 29.3%.

After averaging 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has produced significantly more this year, now averaging 107.0 per game.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 84.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 57.6.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 80.9% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies an impressive gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 75.6% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.6% red zone run rate.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).

The Jaguars pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.5%) to wide receivers this year (59.5%).

The Jaguars defense has conceded the 10th-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to wideouts: 0.80 per game this year.

More Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™