My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-146/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has run fewer routes this year (90.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (73.9%).

In this game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 5.8 adjusted catches per game this season reflects an impressive boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 3.8 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered a meager 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™