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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to accrue 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in an outstanding 71.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in football.

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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