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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.4 targets.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out as one of the most reliable receivers in football, catching a fantastic 71.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.

The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.7%) versus WRs since the start of last season (67.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.5 per game on average).

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New England's group of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.

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