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Jaxon Smith-Njigba
NFL · Player Props
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · Seattle Seahawks
Receptions
Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:16 AM EST
NFL Props Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -185.

Favors Over
  • The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 62.8% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (41.6 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to notch 6.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Favors Under
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).
  • This year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a mere 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 10th-lowest rate in the league.
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