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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been used less as a potential target this year (91.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (73.9%).

The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to garner 9.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba checks in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 6.93 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile when it comes to WRs

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 4.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a significant diminishment in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.7% figure.

This year, the imposing Rams defense has yielded a puny 121.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 4th-best in the league.

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