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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has run fewer routes this year (90.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (73.9%).

In this game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.

After totaling 36.0 air yards per game last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gotten better this season, currently pacing 61.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

With a poor 7.0 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba places as one of the bottom WRs in the game in the NFL.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 4.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a noteable decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 5.7% rate.

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