Javonte Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 2:49 PM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-228/+190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (58.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Dallas Cowboys.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 130.9 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Javonte Williams's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 75.9% to 95.4%.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
Out of all running backs, Javonte Williams grades out in the 95th percentile for red zone carries this year, taking on 68.9% of the usage in his team's rushing attack near the end zone.
When talking about air yards, Javonte Williams grades out in the measly 9th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.
Javonte Williams has run for 1.14 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (99th percentile).

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