Javonte Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 26, 2026 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 5th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Dallas Cowboys.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 136.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.
Javonte Williams's 95.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a meaningful growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 75.9% rate.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Out of all RBs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 97th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, accounting for 75.0% of the workload in his offense's running game near the end zone.
When it comes to air yards, Javonte Williams grades out in just the 14th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -6.0 per game.
Javonte Williams has run for 1.17 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (98th percentile).