Javonte Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+163).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (59.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cowboys.
The projections expect the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Javonte Williams has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 11.1% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Javonte Williams's 94.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a remarkable progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 75.9% mark.

Favors Under

Javonte Williams has been given 75.0% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
Javonte Williams has posted a meager -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 14th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Javonte Williams has run for 1.20 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (98th percentile).
This year, the poor Packers run defense has allowed a massive 1.60 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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