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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.
  • In this contest, Javonte Williams is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.3 rush attempts.
  • Javonte Williams has garnered 43.6% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 5.31 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's DT corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Javonte Williams's 36.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a substantial reduction in his rushing skills over last season's 49.0 mark.
  • Javonte Williams's running efficiency (3.66 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (21st percentile when it comes to running backs).
  • Javonte Williams comes in as one of the weakest running backs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging just 2.46 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.

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