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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.81 seconds per play.
  • The model projects Javonte Williams to total 13.7 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 5.30 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Javonte Williams has been a less important option in his team's running game this season (42.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (53.4%).
  • Javonte Williams has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).
  • Javonte Williams's ground efficiency (3.27 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (19th percentile among RBs).
  • With a dreadful tally of 2.20 yards after contact (12th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams places as one of the least effective running backs in football.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends project as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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