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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to run on 44.9% of their downs: the 10th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per play.

In this game, Javonte Williams is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 14.4 rush attempts.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been awful since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Javonte Williams has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this year (43.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (53.4%).

With an awful rate of 3.50 adjusted yards per carry (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Javonte Williams has been as one of the bottom running backs in the NFL at the position.

With an awful record of 2.65 yards after contact (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Javonte Williams rates among the worst running backs in football.

The Buccaneers defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.17 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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