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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers run defense has conceded a paltry 4.70 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 23rd-best rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 36.6% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least run-centric offense in football has been the Denver Broncos.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

After comprising 53.4% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Javonte Williams has played a smaller part in the ground game this year, currently comprising only 38.1%.

Javonte Williams's 34.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his running prowess over last year's 49.0 mark.

Javonte Williams's running effectiveness (3.62 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (9th percentile when it comes to RBs).

More Javonte Williams Player Props

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