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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

At only 27.94 seconds per snap, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

The Raiders defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing 4.81 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos rank as the 8th-least run-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 37.7% run rate.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

Javonte Williams has been a less important option in his offense's running game this season (41.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (53.4%).

With a lousy rate of 2.51 yards after contact (8th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams stands among the least efficient running backs in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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