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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (134 per game) versus the Falcons defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 38.1% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league has been the Broncos.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.

While Javonte Williams has received 40.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Denver's rushing attack this week at 17.4%.

Javonte Williams has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

Javonte Williams's rushing efficiency (3.83 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (16th percentile when it comes to running backs).

More Javonte Williams Player Props

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