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Javonte Williams
NFL · Player Props
Javonte Williams
RB · Denver Broncos
Rushing Yards
Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos · Week 14, 2023 Updated Dec 11, 2023 2:51 AM UTC
NFL Props Javonte Williams Rushing Yards

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -105.

Favors Over
  • The Denver Broncos have a new play-caller this season in head coach Sean Payton, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • At the present time, the 6th-most run-oriented offense in the league (41.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • In this week's game, Javonte Williams is expected by the projection model to place in the 81st percentile among RBs with 15.0 rush attempts.
  • Javonte Williams has been given 54.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • Javonte Williams has grinded out 51.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (77th percentile).
Favors Under
  • The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 63.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (only 53.2 per game on average).
  • With a very bad record of 3.65 adjusted yards per carry (22nd percentile) this year, Javonte Williams stands as one of the weakest running backs in football at the position.
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