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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+191/-273).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -257 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -273.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The Broncos have been the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 47.9% red zone run rate.
  • Javonte Williams has been given 42.6% of his team's red zone carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.5 plays per game.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Denver Broncos have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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