Javonte Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 11:02 AM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Cowboys.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.44 seconds per play.
With an impressive 44.0% Route Participation% (79th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams ranks among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.
With an excellent 2.5 adjusted catches per game (77th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams has been among the best pass-catching RBs in the league.
Javonte Williams's 95.6% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a material progression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 75.9% figure.

Favors Under

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 28.6 per game) this year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.2%) to running backs this year (77.2%).

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