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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -167 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a giant 9-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.28 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • This week, Javonte Williams is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile among RBs with 4.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.7%) to running backs this year (78.7%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

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