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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Javonte Williams's 46.5% Route Participation% this year signifies a material improvement in his air attack workload over last year's 29.4% rate.

This week, Javonte Williams is projected by the predictive model to land in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 4.4 targets.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

With an exceptional 3.4 adjusted catches per game (90th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams has been as one of the top pass-catching running backs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by the projection model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

The Chargers linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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