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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.

The Broncos have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 65.6% pass rate.

The projections expect the Broncos offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.65 seconds per snap.

Javonte Williams has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (46.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (29.4%).

In this contest, Javonte Williams is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.5 per game) since the start of last season.

The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) versus RBs since the start of last season (78.1%).

The Jets linebackers rank as the best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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