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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

The model projects Javonte Williams to notch 3.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Javonte Williams has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 11.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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