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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The model projects Javonte Williams to earn 3.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

With a high 12.6% Target Share (90th percentile) last year, Javonte Williams stands as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in football last year.

With an impressive 2.9 adjusted receptions per game (82nd percentile) last year, Javonte Williams ranks among the top pass-catching running backs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 125.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos last year (just 54.8 per game on average).

Last year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a measly 77.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

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