Javonte Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-107/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 130.9 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With an impressive 43.2% Route Participation% (81st percentile) this year, Javonte Williams places among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in football.
Javonte Williams has accumulated many more adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (9.0).

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
When talking about air yards, Javonte Williams grades out in the measly 9th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.
This year, the formidable Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a mere 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the smallest rate in football.

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