Javonte Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
With a top-tier 51.3% Route Participation% (86th percentile) last year, Javonte Williams rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the NFL.
In this week's contest, Javonte Williams is predicted by the projections to rank in the 78th percentile among RBs with 2.9 targets.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 3-point favorite in this game.
When it comes to air yards, Javonte Williams ranks in the measly 9th percentile among running backs last year, with just -3.0 per game.
When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Cowboys ranks as the 2nd-worst in football last year.
With a subpar 76.4% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) last year, Javonte Williams ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among RBs.
Javonte Williams profiles as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the league when it comes to running backs, averaging a measly 3.32 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

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