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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Javonte Williams's 46.5% Route Participation% this year signifies a material improvement in his air attack workload over last year's 29.4% rate.

This week, Javonte Williams is projected by the predictive model to land in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 4.4 targets.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Javonte Williams has put up a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).

Javonte Williams's 6.5 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 4.3 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by the projection model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

The Chargers pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. RBs this year, surrendering 3.73 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

The Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.52 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

The Chargers linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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